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Assessing the Effects of the Election Result for Mexico’s Upstream Industry: Change in Government Raises Potential for Shift in the Direction of Oil and Gas Sector

Participants in Mexico’s oil and gas industry are continuing to assess the implications for their sector following the country’s recent election win by President-elect, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who has criticised the privatisation of Mexico’s oil and gas sector.  In his most recent announcement, Mr. Obrador proposed to steer oil and gas development in Mexico back to national companies in order to develop Mexico’s energy self-sufficiency.1  The new administration proposes to invest $4 billion in Pemex, the state-owned company, to develop an $8.6 billion refinery and to increase crude production by 600 million barrels per day in two years.

In another indicator of his shifting approach, Mr. Obrador’s incoming administration further plans to postpone, at least temporarily, the international tender process conducted by the National Hydrocarbons Commission (CNH) that has attracted significant foreign interest and investment since 2015 with transformative effects.  CNH announced a deferral of bid round 3.2 for 37 conventional onshore blocks, round 3.3 for nine unconventional onshore blocks and a tender for joint venture opportunities with Pemex in seven onshore fields.  These rounds have been postponed to February 2019 in order for the new administration to review and (potentially) revise the contracts awarded in such tenders to increase the percentage of national content, among other potential changes,2 and to confirm that the contracts are free of corruption. Rocío Nahle, Mr. Obrador’s newly designated head of the Ministry of Energy, announced recently that the review of contracts is expected to conclude in November of this year.

Mr. Obrador will take office on December 1, 2018.  It remains to be seen whether the new administration will move away from the liberalisation of the upstream market, and the detail of changes to the tender rounds and terms being offered. Industry participants should keep watch and be ready to adapt to the changing landscape. Bracewell’s Mexico team is ready to assist.  Our team is comprised of leading energy lawyers in Houston and London and we are one of the few law firms that have been involved in all aspects of the liberalisation process.

Summary of recent M&A activity and Bid Round announcements

Previously in 2018, investment in Mexico’s oil and gas market had continued to develop, with latest announcements including the country’s first joint venture between two private companies, completed bid rounds for contract awards, developments in ongoing rounds to be conducted by CNH and new partnership opportunities with Pemex.

In May, two private oil and gas companies announced an agreement to form the first joint venture between private companies in Mexico.  Vista Oil & Gas will partner with Jaguar Exploracion y Produccion on three onshore blocks that were previously awarded to Jaguar during auctions in 2017.  The transaction remains subject to CNH’s prior approval.

In March, the results of Mexico’s most recently completed bid auction round were announced, demonstrating competitive interest in the country’s shallow waters.  Sixteen of the 35 contractual areas put on offer were awarded in Round 3.1.  Round 3.1 showed strong bidder interest from major oil and gas players from 12 different countries and with significant experience in shallow waters.  Winning bidders will enter into production sharing contracts with the CNH.

The below table includes additional detail on Round 3.1.3

Round 3.1

PSC, Shallow Water

Contractual Areas

Tender Results

Prospective Reserves

Block 5

Repsol

Light oil and wet gas, 175 MMboe

Block 11

Premier Oil

Light oil and wet gas, 110 MMboe

Block 12

Repsol

Light oil and wet gas, 229 MMboe

Block 13

Premier Oil

Light oil and wet gas, 71 MMboe

Block 15

Capricorn and Citla Energy

Light oil and wet gas, 161 MMboe

Block 16

Pemex, DEA Deutsche Erdoel and Compañia Española

Light oil and dry gas, 134 MMboe

Block 17

Pemex, DEA Deutsche Erdoel and Compañia Española

Light oil, 130 MMboe

Block 18

Pemex and Compañia Española

Light oil, 341 MMboe

Block 28

Eni and Lukoil

Light oil, 100 boe

Block 29

Pemex

Light oil, N/A

Block 30

DEA Deutsche Erdoel, Premier and Sapura

Light oil, 85 MMboe

Block 31

Pan American

Light oil, heavy oil, wet gas, 173 MMboe

Block 32

Total and Pemex

Heavy oil and dry gas, 245 MMboe

Block 33

Total and Pemex

Ultra-light oil, 104 MMboe

Block 34

Total, BP and Pan American

Wet gas, 34.7 MMboe

Block 35

Shell and Pemex

Extra heavy oil, 40 MMboe


1 Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-15/mexico-s-lopez-obrado... and https://www.ft.com/content/16aeb5aa-5ece-11e8-ad91-e01af256df68

2 Source: https://www.ft.com/content/c941f89c-8ab8-11e8-b18d-0181731a0340

3 Source: http://www.rondasmexico.gob.mx

© 2018 Bracewell LLP

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About this Author

Adam Blythe, Energy Attorney, Bracewell Law FIrm
Senior Associate

Adam Blythe is an energy lawyer with a focus on oil and gas related transactions. He has experience working on mergers and acquisitions, project development, joint venturing and other commercial arrangements in the upstream, midstream and downstream sectors. Adam has particular experience of African and cross-border transactions.

44-0-207-448-4247
Charlotte Keenan, Bracewell Law Firm, London, Corporate, Finance and Energy Law Attorney
Attorney

Charlotte Keenan represents both public and private companies in capital markets transactions, mergers and acquisitions and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) compliance and disclosure matters. Her capital markets experience includes initial public offerings, shelf offerings, investment-grade debt offerings and other financing transactions. Charlotte assists clients with respect to business combinations, entity formation and dissolution, asset and stock purchases and sales and commercial business transactions. She has advised conflicts committees and boards of directors on fiduciary duties, corporate governance and other matters. 

Charlotte represented Great Plains Energy with respect to its purchase of Westar Energy, which was the largest deal in the U.S. electricity distribution market in 2016. She was also a member of Bracewell teams that represented Kinder Morgan in the second-largest energy deal in history and in Kinder Morgan’s first registered public offering of euro-denominated notes.

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